Copper, China and the supply conundrum

For investors and the whole copper supply chain, there are a myriad of challenges ahead. Wood Mackenzie published an insightful report. Here are the most salient points: • Copper Demand Growth: WM estimates that demand for copper will grow by 75% to 56 million tonnes (Mt) by 2050, highlighting the crucial role of copper in … Continue reading Copper, China and the supply conundrum

Crazy commodities (my belated 2023 recap plus what’s happening now in 2024)

It's been a CRAZY few months for commodities. We've seen copper above $4 and lithium falling much lower than expected, uranium soaring and nickel plummetting. I spent more time dissecting projections from mining companies to banks to gain insights into what's ahead (not an easy job!) and posted some of these analyses. You all seem … Continue reading Crazy commodities (my belated 2023 recap plus what’s happening now in 2024)

US proposes changes to the IRA in move to exclude China (and Russia) from benefits

The US proposed new regulations as part of the IRA to limit Chinese/Russian content for EVs. With China's leading role in raw materials and batteries, this could have a BIG impact. Here are some of the implications for anyone investing in lithium or EVs: Some stocks will benefit, and others will be shunned (will get … Continue reading US proposes changes to the IRA in move to exclude China (and Russia) from benefits

Lithium oversupply is unlikely… and here are 5 reasons why. The battle between Benchmark Mineral Intelligence vs Goldman Sachs

Given recent developments, I feel fitting to bring back this piece by Benchmark Mineral Intelligence in response to Goldman Sachs. Minor edits for brevity. Lithium oversupply? Not likely. Why? 1) The industry cannot rely on China feedstock meeting the market Goldman sees the most “significant” new lithium supply coming from China. Despite progress, Chinese hard rock resources are … Continue reading Lithium oversupply is unlikely… and here are 5 reasons why. The battle between Benchmark Mineral Intelligence vs Goldman Sachs